Dollar Conservative VT Copy Product

Certified-source-only VT pack. Figures are rendered from the certified real-tick trade series, its Monte Carlo, and certified trade-list statistics.

Overview And Headline

Net per month after broker costs13.38%USD 401 on a USD 3,000 account in month one, compounding thereafter
Max DD6.99%Closed-balance moving-peak (high-water) basis
Monte Carlo stress p95 DD13.00%95th percentile high-water drawdown across reshuffled orderings

Run Settings

MinimumUnitFinal kBasis
USD 3,000 minimum (published, VT-23) / standard USD accountUSD1.0000Compounding closed-balance high-water DD; certified real-tick basis; k=1.0000; technical ID DOLLAR_CONSERVATIVE

Equity Curve

Dollar Conservative equity curve
USD equity 28969611163262304129756 D0001D0160D0319

Drawdown Curve

Drawdown basis: closed-balance moving-peak (high-water). VT is a live compounding account: there is no sweep, no payout cycle and no profit split.

Dollar Conservative high-water DD
High-water DD % 0.01.74677328986644593.49354657973289175.2403198695993386.9870931594657835 D0001D0160D0319

Monthly Returns Heatmap

2025-01
4.21%
2025-02
5.68%
2025-03
7.56%
2025-04
2.20%
2025-05
11.53%
2025-06
12.00%
2025-07
12.92%
2025-08
2.99%
2025-09
20.07%
2025-10
12.70%
2025-11
8.12%
2025-12
10.51%
2026-01
23.54%
2026-02
36.70%
2026-03
31.63%
2026-04
26.05%
2026-05
22.89%
2026-06
-2.65%

Monthly Return Table

MonthNet P&LReturn on opening balance
2025-01USD 1264.21%
2025-02USD 1785.68%
2025-03USD 2507.56%
2025-04USD 782.20%
2025-05USD 41911.53%
2025-06USD 48612.00%
2025-07USD 58612.92%
2025-08USD 1532.99%
2025-09USD 1,05920.07%
2025-10USD 80512.70%
2025-11USD 5808.12%
2025-12USD 81110.51%
2026-01USD 2,00823.54%
2026-02USD 3,86836.70%
2026-03USD 4,55731.63%
2026-04USD 4,94026.05%
2026-05USD 5,47122.89%
2026-06USD -778-2.65%

Monthly returns vary widely. Over the certified window the typical month was 11.8% and the strongest months were +36.7%/+31.6%/+26.0%; a few strong months make up much of the total. Expect long stretches well below the average, and do not plan on the strongest months recurring.

Monthly Bar Chart

Dollar Conservative monthly returns
Monthly return % 2025-01 4.21%2025-02 5.68%2025-03 7.56%2025-04 2.20%2025-05 11.53%2025-06 12.00%2025-07 12.92%2025-08 2.99%2025-09 20.07%2025-10 12.70%2025-11 8.12%2025-12 10.51%2026-01 23.54%2026-02 36.70%2026-03 31.63%2026-04 26.05%2026-05 22.89%2026-06 -2.65% 2025-012025-102026-06

Returns And Costs

Gross window totalCommissionSwapNet after costs window totalCompounded monthly rateApprox monthly net at starting balance
USD 26,517USD 0USD -873USD 25,64413.38%USD 401

Trade Statistics

TradesTrades/dayTrades/weekWin rateProfit factorMax loss streakMax concurrentAvg holdLongest hold
7101.309.1038.73%1.9611779.6h408.0h

Trade Quality

Largest winLargest lossExpectancy per tradeRecovery factorWinning monthsLosing months
USD 753USD -332USD 36n/a171

Long Vs Short Breakdown

DirectionTradesNetWin rateProfit factor
Long381USD 12,65341.21%1.81
Short329USD 12,99135.87%2.16

Position Exposure

Max concurrent positionsAverage concurrent positionsMax concurrent riskAverage concurrent riskRisk basis
74.594.90%3.21%open_positions_x_final_rung_risk_pct; certified trade lists do not carry SL-risk-at-open

Trade Duration

AverageMedianLongestShortest
79.6h43.2h408.0h0.1h

Monte Carlo

The Monte Carlo reshuffles the certified daily outcomes in contiguous blocks to estimate how deep drawdown could run under a different ordering of the same behaviour. These are stress figures. No pass or fail band is applied: the transfer of this product's drawdown thresholds onto the block-bootstrap statistic has not been adjudicated, so a verdict here would not mean anything yet.

p50 DDp95 DDp99 DD
8.20%13.00%15.63%

Real-Tick Certification Summary

This product has a single real-tick leg: the certified series is the tick series. The counts below state coverage, not a reconciliation between a model and a real-tick run.

Matched model eventsReal-tick eventsUnmatched real-tickUnmatched model zeroed
71071000

Holdings And Strategy List

Some strategies appear in more than one product, so returns across products are correlated and holding multiple products does not provide full diversification.

Strategy ID
FP2R0051_AUDCADVIP_15M_t9
FP2R1600_CHFJPYVIP_8H_t1159
FP2R2144_EURAUDVIP_5M_t221
FP2R2459_EURJPYVIP_1H_t530
FP2R3249_GBPAUDVIP_5M_t840
FP2R3385_GBPCADVIP_1H_t959
FP2R4031_GBPUSDVIP_15M_t141

Window Consistency

Window Consistency (first half vs second half of the certified window). Formal train/OOS labelling follows the tranche-dictionary locate; this section is not a train/OOS claim.

WindowStartEndNetMax DDAverage monthlyWin rateProfit factorTrades
H12025-01-022025-10-02USD 3,3396.81%USD 37235.05%1.54368
H22025-10-022026-07-02USD 22,3046.99%USD 2,48742.69%2.08342

Worst Five Days

DayDaily lossP&L
D03073.42%USD -987
D03063.01%USD -895
D00862.85%USD -114
D01082.76%USD -122
D00042.47%USD -76

Trade & Return Statistics

Risk-adjusted ratios are computed from the 18 monthly returns in the sealed monthly table; trade statistics are computed from the certified trade list. Each formula is stated beside the figure it produces.

RatioValueFormula
Sharpe (annualised)4.43mean(monthly) ÷ sample SD(monthly, n−1) × √12, risk-free 0
Sortino (annualised)76.61mean(monthly) ÷ downside deviation × √12, downside deviation = √(mean(min(monthly,0)²)) over all months
Recovery factor12.33cumulative certified net ÷ maximum closed-equity drawdown, both in USD
Profit factor1.96gross winning P&L ÷ |gross losing P&L|

Ratios computed on 18 monthly observations; with few or no losing months these ratios are inflated and are provided to compare our products with each other, not against external benchmarks.

R is a trade’s result expressed in units of the risk taken on it: realised P&L USD / certified initial risk USD, where initial risk is the capture-A entry-to-initial-SL loss_per_lot at the certified lot; |entry_price - sl| == risk_pts asserted on every trade

MeasureIn USDIn RBasis
Expectancy per tradeUSD 36.120.502 Rtotal P&L ÷ closed trades
Median tradeUSD -21.57-0.989 Rmedian across closed trades
Average winUSD 190.612.872 Rwinning trades only
Average lossUSD -61.55-0.996 Rlosing trades only; stated negative

Trade counts. Long plus short plus non-directional equals closed trades.

CountTrades
Closed trades710
Winning275
Losing435
Breakeven0
Long381
Short329
Non-directional0
Long share of directional trades53.66%
Short share of directional trades46.34%

Frequency and holding period. Both denominators are stated because they differ.

MeasureValueBasis
Trades per week9.12closed trades ÷ (governed calendar days ÷ 7); denominator 545 days — calendar days from the governed window start to end, inclusive
Trades per day2.24closed trades ÷ governed trading days; denominator 317 days — weekdays in the governed window on which the certified series realised cash (producer-of-record field trading_day_count)
Average hold79.6hmean across closed trades
Median hold43.2hmedian across closed trades
StreakLengthBasis
Longest winning streak9 tradesconsecutive closed trades in sealed close ordering; a breakeven trade (net exactly 0) breaks both streaks
Longest losing streak11 tradesconsecutive closed trades in sealed close ordering; a breakeven trade (net exactly 0) breaks both streaks
Longest losing run in months1 monthslongest run of consecutive negative months read from the sealed monthly table; not re-derived from trades

Robustness — Parameter & Cost Perturbation Tests

Perturbation testing checks whether a strategy remains economically viable when key parameters and trading costs are deliberately moved away from their selected values. Robust performance across nearby settings provides evidence against a result depending on one narrowly optimised parameter combination; it does not prove future profitability.

Every field below is reproduced from the sealed grading record for that strategy; the grade is taken from the member census these boards were built from. No grade is inferred, no threshold is applied here, and no strategy is re-graded.

StrategyInstrument / timeframeGradeBaseline netPerturbation latticeRetentionRetention methodSealed source
FP2R0051_AUDCADVIP_15M_t9AUDCAD-VIP 15MINGREEN3955.38sl minus net 3,613.00; sl plus net 3,966.69; tp minus net 3,301.01; tp plus net 4,274.1583.5% (worst_retention_pct)derived from the sealed lattice nets by the grader's own formula (worst leg / baseline)C5834283BC54F77D…
FP2R1600_CHFJPYVIP_8H_t1159CHFJPY-VIP 8HGREEN759.81sl minus net 787.13; sl plus net 754.51; tp minus net 741.32; tp plus net 784.1997.6% (worst_retention_pct)derived from the sealed lattice nets by the grader's own formula (worst leg / baseline)C5834283BC54F77D…
FP2R2144_EURAUDVIP_5M_t221EURAUD-VIP 5MINGREEN5281.94sl minus net 4,802.81; sl plus net 5,369.97; tp minus net 5,167.61; tp plus net 5,456.0190.9% (worst_retention_pct)derived from the sealed lattice nets by the grader's own formula (worst leg / baseline)C5834283BC54F77D…
FP2R2459_EURJPYVIP_1H_t530EURJPY-VIP 1HGREEN9348.6sl minus net 5,616.92; sl plus net 8,748.18; tp minus net 8,768.71; tp plus net 8,961.0360.1% (worst_retention_pct)derived from the sealed lattice nets by the grader's own formula (worst leg / baseline)C5834283BC54F77D…
FP2R3249_GBPAUDVIP_5M_t840GBPAUD-VIP 5MINGREEN8729.76sl minus net 6,995.82; sl plus net 7,009.07; tp minus net 8,404.74; tp plus net 7,448.9080.1% (worst_retention_pct)derived from the sealed lattice nets by the grader's own formula (worst leg / baseline)C5834283BC54F77D…
FP2R3385_GBPCADVIP_1H_t959GBPCADVIP 1HGREEN3413.64sl minus 98.5% of baseline; sl plus 99.8% of baseline; tp minus 99.4% of baseline; tp plus 95.1% of baseline95.1% (worst_retention_pct)as emitted by the sealed grader (worst_retention_pct)0C96530B543FC2CD…
FP2R4031_GBPUSDVIP_15M_t141GBPUSDVIP 15MINGREEN1696.64sl minus 67.3% of baseline; sl plus 86.1% of baseline; tp minus 93.2% of baseline; tp plus 100.8% of baseline67.3% (worst_retention_pct)as emitted by the sealed grader (worst_retention_pct)FED063C7196191C8…

Grades were set by the sealed grader on all four perturbations together: green requires every leg profitable, median retention of at least 80% and the worst leg at least 60%; red follows from a losing leg, median retention under 60%, two legs under 50%, or materially worsened drawdown. The worst leg is shown because it is frequently the binding test. Grader of record: vt_grade_current_binding_safe_r1_20260827.py, SHA 9584995787FA2D06…, criteria at lines 44-45.

Board summary. The lowest retention is the minimum over the strategies shown above that carry the statistic: worst_retention_pct, the minimum over all 7 strategies on this board; 2 carry the figure as the sealed grader emitted it and 5 are derived from that grader's own formula over its sealed lattice nets

StrategiesGradesLowest retention
7GREEN 7 / AMBER 0 / RED 060.1%

Audits

Part 0.6 gates: units are declared, all figures source from certified artifacts, and pack assertions compare headline and risk values to source records.

ItemValueWhat it means
Mechanical minimumUSD 2,502The smallest balance on which every certified trade can be placed. It is a lot-legality floor, not the account size this product is sold at.
Published minimumUSD 3,000VT-23 published minimum. Every figure in this pack is rendered on this balance.
SizingCertified trade series, k=1.0000Lots are the certified lots, consumed verbatim. No scaling tournament is applied.
Certification gradeR9X_CERTIFIED_CAPTURE_A_TRADE_SERIES_AT_PUBLISHED_MINIMUMPer-trade economics read from the capture-A OrderCalcProfit ledgers.

Legal

Important Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer

The information, statistics, charts, analysis, performance figures and trading reports contained within this document are provided solely for informational and educational purposes. They do not constitute financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

Backtested Performance

Any performance results presented within this report are derived from historical backtesting or simulated trading using historical market data.

Backtesting is a hypothetical exercise designed to estimate how a trading strategy may have performed under past market conditions. Such results are produced with the benefit of hindsight and do not reflect actual trading. They do not account for all market conditions or execution factors that may occur during live trading.

Past performance, whether actual or simulated, is not a reliable indicator of future results and must not be relied upon as a prediction or guarantee of future performance.

No representation or warranty is made that any account will achieve profits or losses similar to those shown in this report.

Risks of Trading

Trading financial markets involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor.

Actual trading results may differ materially from historical backtests due to numerous factors, including but not limited to:

Losses can exceed expectations, and it is possible to lose part or all of the capital allocated to trading.

No Guarantee

No guarantee, representation or warranty is made regarding the profitability, accuracy, reliability or future performance of any trading system, methodology, algorithm or strategy described within this report.

Historical performance should never be considered a guarantee of future returns.

Independent Decision Making

Any decision to trade, invest or otherwise act upon the information contained within this report is made entirely at the user's own discretion and risk.

Users are solely responsible for conducting their own due diligence and for determining whether any trading strategy or methodology is appropriate for their individual financial circumstances, objectives and risk tolerance.

Independent professional financial advice should be sought where appropriate before making any investment or trading decision.

Limitation of Liability

To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, the authors, developers, distributors and providers of this report, together with their affiliates, employees, contractors and representatives, shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or punitive loss or damage arising from the use of, or reliance upon, this report or any information, analysis, software, trading system or performance data contained within it.

This includes, without limitation, any loss of capital, trading losses, loss of profits, loss of opportunity, business interruption, loss of data or any other financial or commercial loss.

Acceptance of Risk

By accessing, reading or using this report, you acknowledge and agree that:

If you do not understand or accept these risks, you should not rely upon or use the information contained within this report.