Dollar Conservative VT Copy Product

Draft certified-source-only VT pack. Figures are rendered from Task 1D real-tick recomposition, MC, and G7 certified trade-list statistics.

DRAFT pending Fable verification and Phil approval.

Overview And Headline

System performance before costs10.50%/moCompounded monthly rate from certified real-tick curve
Net after broker costsGBP 1,050/moGBP 29,045 over certified window
Max DD6.28%High-water compounding basis
MC p95 DD14.60%Band 15.00%

Run Settings

MinimumUnitFinal kBasis
GBP 10,000 minimumGBP0.6490Compounding high-water DD; matched-window real-tick basis; k=0.6490; technical ID DOLLAR_10000_CONS

Equity Curve

Dollar Conservative equity curve
GBP equity 959824256389135357168229 D0001D0158D0315

Drawdown Curve

Drawdown basis: compounding high-water DD. There is no FTMO sweep or profit split in VT products.

Dollar Conservative high-water DD
High-water DD % 0.01.57032156685030973.14064313370061934.7109647005509296.281286267401239 D0001D0158D0315

Monthly Returns Heatmap

2025-01
-1.34%
2025-02
5.48%
2025-03
7.85%
2025-04
4.66%
2025-05
9.09%
2025-06
13.00%
2025-07
4.01%
2025-08
2.40%
2025-09
20.25%
2025-10
7.08%
2025-11
7.45%
2025-12
7.61%
2026-01
9.56%
2026-02
21.84%
2026-03
35.25%
2026-04
30.51%
2026-05
13.68%
2026-06
4.88%
2026-07
3.31%

Monthly Return Table

MonthNet P&LReturn on opening balance
2025-01GBP -134-1.34%
2025-02GBP 5415.48%
2025-03GBP 8177.85%
2025-04GBP 5224.66%
2025-05GBP 1,0689.09%
2025-06GBP 1,66613.00%
2025-07GBP 5814.01%
2025-08GBP 3612.40%
2025-09GBP 3,12220.25%
2025-10GBP 1,3137.08%
2025-11GBP 1,4807.45%
2025-12GBP 1,6247.61%
2026-01GBP 2,1949.56%
2026-02GBP 5,49421.84%
2026-03GBP 10,80335.25%
2026-04GBP 12,64730.51%
2026-05GBP 7,40013.68%
2026-06GBP 3,0034.88%
2026-07GBP 2,1363.31%

Monthly Bar Chart

Dollar Conservative monthly returns
Monthly return % 2025-01 -1.34%2025-02 5.48%2025-03 7.85%2025-04 4.66%2025-05 9.09%2025-06 13.00%2025-07 4.01%2025-08 2.40%2025-09 20.25%2025-10 7.08%2025-11 7.45%2025-12 7.61%2026-01 9.56%2026-02 21.84%2026-03 35.25%2026-04 30.51%2026-05 13.68%2026-06 4.88%2026-07 3.31% 2025-012025-102026-07

Returns And Costs

Gross window totalCommissionSwapNet after costs window totalCompounded monthly rateApprox monthly net at starting balance
GBP 30,636GBP -432GBP -1,158GBP 29,04510.50%GBP 1,050

Trade Statistics

TradesTrades/dayTrades/weekWin rateProfit factorMax loss streakMax concurrentAvg holdLongest hold
7201.329.2140.97%1.699653.3h403.0h

Trade Quality

Largest winLargest lossExpectancy per tradeRecovery factorWinning monthsLosing months
GBP 648GBP -272GBP 40n/a181

Long Vs Short Breakdown

DirectionTradesNetWin rateProfit factor
Long401GBP 16,43842.39%1.71
Short319GBP 12,60639.18%1.66

Position Exposure

Max concurrent positionsAverage concurrent positionsMax concurrent riskAverage concurrent riskRisk basis
62.953.89%1.90%open_positions_x_final_rung_risk_pct; certified trade lists do not carry SL-risk-at-open

Trade Duration

AverageMedianLongestShortest
53.3h14.3h403.0h0.0h

Live Copy Timing

n/a -- live copy product. There are no FTMO phase targets or time-to-funded stages.

Monte Carlo

The Monte Carlo reshuffles certified daily outcomes in contiguous blocks to estimate high-water drawdown risk. The breach percentage is the chance of exceeding Phil's product DD band; real-tick basis governs this pack.

p50 DDp95 DDp99 DDP(DD > band)Band
9.06%14.60%17.68%3.93%15.00%

Real-Tick Certification Summary

Matched model eventsReal-tick eventsUnmatched real-tickUnmatched model zeroedMC pass
71672044True

Holdings And Strategy List

Some strategies appear in more than one product, so returns across products are correlated and holding multiple products does not provide full diversification.

Strategy ID
FP2R0130_AUDCADVIP_1H_t1192
FP2R1519_CHFJPYVIP_5M_t118
FP2R1659_DJ30_15M_t1149
FP2R2929_EURUSDVIP_8H_t1031
FP2R3217_GBPAUDVIP_5M_t1076
FP2R4346_GER40_15M_t1186

Window Consistency

Window Consistency (first half vs second half of certified real-tick window). Formal train/OOS labelling follows the tranche-dictionary locate; this section is not a train/OOS claim.

WindowStartEndNetMax DDAverage monthlyWin rateProfit factorTrades
H12025-01-022025-10-02GBP 7,9750.00%GBP 88638.65%1.47326
H22025-10-022026-07-02GBP 21,0700.00%GBP 2,34142.89%1.83394

Worst Five Days

DayDaily lossP&L
D00062.76%GBP -274
D02502.65%GBP -967
D02252.56%GBP -728
D00272.55%GBP -271
D00672.53%GBP -313

Audits

Part 0.6 gates: units are declared, all figures source from certified artifacts, and pack assertions compare headline, risk and MC values to source records.

Legal

Important Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer

The information, statistics, charts, analysis, performance figures and trading reports contained within this document are provided solely for informational and educational purposes. They do not constitute financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.

Backtested Performance

Any performance results presented within this report are derived from historical backtesting or simulated trading using historical market data.

Backtesting is a hypothetical exercise designed to estimate how a trading strategy may have performed under past market conditions. Such results are produced with the benefit of hindsight and do not reflect actual trading. They do not account for all market conditions or execution factors that may occur during live trading.

Past performance, whether actual or simulated, is not a reliable indicator of future results and must not be relied upon as a prediction or guarantee of future performance.

No representation or warranty is made that any account will achieve profits or losses similar to those shown in this report.

Risks of Trading

Trading financial markets involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor.

Actual trading results may differ materially from historical backtests due to numerous factors, including but not limited to:

Losses can exceed expectations, and it is possible to lose part or all of the capital allocated to trading.

No Guarantee

No guarantee, representation or warranty is made regarding the profitability, accuracy, reliability or future performance of any trading system, methodology, algorithm or strategy described within this report.

Historical performance should never be considered a guarantee of future returns.

Independent Decision Making

Any decision to trade, invest or otherwise act upon the information contained within this report is made entirely at the user's own discretion and risk.

Users are solely responsible for conducting their own due diligence and for determining whether any trading strategy or methodology is appropriate for their individual financial circumstances, objectives and risk tolerance.

Independent professional financial advice should be sought where appropriate before making any investment or trading decision.

Limitation of Liability

To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, the authors, developers, distributors and providers of this report, together with their affiliates, employees, contractors and representatives, shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or punitive loss or damage arising from the use of, or reliance upon, this report or any information, analysis, software, trading system or performance data contained within it.

This includes, without limitation, any loss of capital, trading losses, loss of profits, loss of opportunity, business interruption, loss of data or any other financial or commercial loss.

Acceptance of Risk

By accessing, reading or using this report, you acknowledge and agree that:

If you do not understand or accept these risks, you should not rely upon or use the information contained within this report.