Cent Conservative VT Copy Product
Draft certified-source-only VT pack. Figures are rendered from Task 1D real-tick recomposition, MC, and G7 certified trade-list statistics.
Overview And Headline
Run Settings
| Minimum | Unit | Final k | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD 1,000 minimum / USC cent account | USD | 1.0610 | Compounding high-water DD; matched-window real-tick basis; k=1.0610; technical ID CENT_1000 |
Equity Curve
Drawdown Curve
Drawdown basis: compounding high-water DD. There is no FTMO sweep or profit split in VT products.
Monthly Returns Heatmap
| 2025-01 2.56% | 2025-02 15.90% | 2025-03 4.48% | 2025-04 7.00% | 2025-05 4.48% | 2025-06 0.82% | 2025-07 9.47% | 2025-08 1.51% | 2025-09 8.52% | 2025-10 21.72% | 2025-11 24.07% | 2025-12 12.05% | 2026-01 -0.88% | 2026-02 16.84% | 2026-03 20.92% | 2026-04 13.72% | 2026-05 8.39% | 2026-06 5.52% | 2026-07 1.49% |
Monthly Return Table
| Month | Net P&L | Return on opening balance |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01 | USD 26 | 2.56% |
| 2025-02 | USD 163 | 15.90% |
| 2025-03 | USD 53 | 4.48% |
| 2025-04 | USD 87 | 7.00% |
| 2025-05 | USD 59 | 4.48% |
| 2025-06 | USD 11 | 0.82% |
| 2025-07 | USD 133 | 9.47% |
| 2025-08 | USD 23 | 1.51% |
| 2025-09 | USD 133 | 8.52% |
| 2025-10 | USD 367 | 21.72% |
| 2025-11 | USD 495 | 24.07% |
| 2025-12 | USD 307 | 12.05% |
| 2026-01 | USD -25 | -0.88% |
| 2026-02 | USD 477 | 16.84% |
| 2026-03 | USD 692 | 20.92% |
| 2026-04 | USD 549 | 13.72% |
| 2026-05 | USD 382 | 8.39% |
| 2026-06 | USD 272 | 5.52% |
| 2026-07 | USD 77 | 1.49% |
Monthly Bar Chart
Returns And Costs
| Gross window total | Commission | Swap | Net after costs window total | Compounded monthly rate | Approx monthly net at starting balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD 1,960 | USD 0 | USD -60 | USD 1,900 | 9.15% | USD 92 |
Trade Statistics
| Trades | Trades/day | Trades/week | Win rate | Profit factor | Max loss streak | Max concurrent | Avg hold | Longest hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 | 0.56 | 3.90 | 43.61% | 2.11 | 7 | 6 | 146.6h | 408.0h |
Trade Quality
| Largest win | Largest loss | Expectancy per trade | Recovery factor | Winning months | Losing months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD 76 | USD -18 | USD 6 | n/a | 17 | 2 |
Long Vs Short Breakdown
| Direction | Trades | Net | Win rate | Profit factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long | 150 | USD 707 | 47.33% | 1.87 |
| Short | 155 | USD 1,193 | 40.00% | 2.34 |
Position Exposure
| Max concurrent positions | Average concurrent positions | Max concurrent risk | Average concurrent risk | Risk basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3.41 | 6.37% | 3.62% | open_positions_x_final_rung_risk_pct; certified trade lists do not carry SL-risk-at-open |
Trade Duration
| Average | Median | Longest | Shortest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 146.6h | 107.1h | 408.0h | 0.1h |
Live Copy Timing
n/a -- live copy product. There are no FTMO phase targets or time-to-funded stages.
Monte Carlo
The Monte Carlo reshuffles certified daily outcomes in contiguous blocks to estimate high-water drawdown risk. The breach percentage is the chance of exceeding Phil's product DD band; real-tick basis governs this pack.
| p50 DD | p95 DD | p99 DD | P(DD > band) | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.88% | 14.19% | 17.15% | 3.38% | 15.00% |
Real-Tick Certification Summary
| Matched model events | Real-tick events | Unmatched real-tick | Unmatched model zeroed | MC pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274 | 305 | 31 | 25 | True |
Holdings And Strategy List
Some strategies appear in more than one product, so returns across products are correlated and holding multiple products does not provide full diversification.
| Strategy ID |
|---|
| FP2R0087_AUDCADVIP_1H_t1113 |
| FP2R2125_EURAUDVIP_5M_t102 |
| FP2R2307_EURCADVIP_4H_t1024 |
| FP2R2882_EURUSDVIP_4H_t200 |
| FP2R3482_GBPCADVIP_30M_t1081 |
| FP2R5219_NZDJPYVIP_30M_t1117 |
Window Consistency
Window Consistency (first half vs second half of certified real-tick window). Formal train/OOS labelling follows the tranche-dictionary locate; this section is not a train/OOS claim.
| Window | Start | End | Net | Max DD | Average monthly | Win rate | Profit factor | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 | 2025-01-02 | 2025-10-02 | USD 474 | 0.00% | USD 53 | 35.00% | 1.48 | 160 |
| H2 | 2025-10-02 | 2026-07-02 | USD 1,426 | 0.00% | USD 158 | 53.10% | 2.96 | 145 |
Worst Five Days
| Day | Daily loss | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| D0095 | 2.40% | USD -38 |
| D0088 | 2.37% | USD -37 |
| D0006 | 2.27% | USD -22 |
| D0041 | 2.19% | USD -28 |
| D0040 | 2.14% | USD -28 |
Audits
Part 0.6 gates: units are declared, all figures source from certified artifacts, and pack assertions compare headline, risk and MC values to source records.
Legal
Important Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer
The information, statistics, charts, analysis, performance figures and trading reports contained within this document are provided solely for informational and educational purposes. They do not constitute financial advice, investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any financial instrument.
Backtested Performance
Any performance results presented within this report are derived from historical backtesting or simulated trading using historical market data.
Backtesting is a hypothetical exercise designed to estimate how a trading strategy may have performed under past market conditions. Such results are produced with the benefit of hindsight and do not reflect actual trading. They do not account for all market conditions or execution factors that may occur during live trading.
Past performance, whether actual or simulated, is not a reliable indicator of future results and must not be relied upon as a prediction or guarantee of future performance.
No representation or warranty is made that any account will achieve profits or losses similar to those shown in this report.
Risks of Trading
Trading financial markets involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor.
Actual trading results may differ materially from historical backtests due to numerous factors, including but not limited to:
- Changes in market conditions and volatility
- Liquidity constraints
- Slippage and execution delays
- Bid/ask spreads
- Commissions, fees and financing costs
- Partial fills or rejected orders
- Broker-specific execution policies
- Data quality differences
- Technical failures, software errors or connectivity issues
- Regulatory or market structure changes
- Human error or operational risks
Losses can exceed expectations, and it is possible to lose part or all of the capital allocated to trading.
No Guarantee
No guarantee, representation or warranty is made regarding the profitability, accuracy, reliability or future performance of any trading system, methodology, algorithm or strategy described within this report.
Historical performance should never be considered a guarantee of future returns.
Independent Decision Making
Any decision to trade, invest or otherwise act upon the information contained within this report is made entirely at the user's own discretion and risk.
Users are solely responsible for conducting their own due diligence and for determining whether any trading strategy or methodology is appropriate for their individual financial circumstances, objectives and risk tolerance.
Independent professional financial advice should be sought where appropriate before making any investment or trading decision.
Limitation of Liability
To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, the authors, developers, distributors and providers of this report, together with their affiliates, employees, contractors and representatives, shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or punitive loss or damage arising from the use of, or reliance upon, this report or any information, analysis, software, trading system or performance data contained within it.
This includes, without limitation, any loss of capital, trading losses, loss of profits, loss of opportunity, business interruption, loss of data or any other financial or commercial loss.
Acceptance of Risk
By accessing, reading or using this report, you acknowledge and agree that:
- You understand that all trading involves significant financial risk.
- You understand that backtested and simulated performance is hypothetical and has inherent limitations.
- You accept full responsibility for all trading and investment decisions made.
- You assume all risks associated with the use of any information, strategies or systems referenced within this report.
- You understand that no guarantees or assurances of future profitability are provided or implied.
If you do not understand or accept these risks, you should not rely upon or use the information contained within this report.